Revisiting opioid use in New Zealand: how does your prescribing compare?

Opioids can be effective for relieving moderate to severe acute pain but carry a significant risk of harm with longer periods of use. A key focus in recent years has been to reduce the prescribing of these medicines in the community, particularly in the context of chronic illness where there are few appropriate indications. This resource examines the progress of New Zealand prescribers in achieving this goal between 2017 – 2022, including a personalised prescribing snapshot. How does your prescribing compare?

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Published: 14 December 2022 | Updated 24th October 2023


24th October 2023 Article updated with 2022 national and individual opioid data


If you would like to know what changes were made when the article was updated please contact us

Key practice points:

  • The type, cause and severity of a patient’s pain must always be evaluated before making decisions about analgesia. Chronic pain can be particularly complex to characterise and manage; it is usually defined as being either primary (cause of pain is uncertain or disproportionate to what is expected) or secondary (as a result of an underlying condition).
  • The World Health Organization (WHO) analgesic ladder is a commonly used framework for making decisions around the provision of analgesia. In the context of chronic pain, use of non-opioid options is prioritised first, followed by “weak” opioids (e.g. codeine, tramadol) and then “strong” opioids (e.g. morphine).* This approach is intended to limit opioid use as these medicines carry a significant risk of harm, e.g. adverse effects, dependence and misuse.
  • There is no compelling evidence that opioids are effective for managing chronic primary pain. Broad indications for opioid use include:
    • Moderate to severe acute pain following surgery or injury (short-term use preferred)
    • Moderate to severe cancer-related pain or pain associated with terminal-conditions (palliative care)
    • Moderate to severe chronic non-cancer pain for selected patients in whom pain cannot be controlled despite the use of non-opioid analgesics/other non-pharmacological interventions, and which is adversely affecting functioning and quality of life (short-term or intermittent use preferred). The decision to initiate longer periods of opioid use should only be made when there is a documented benefit that outweighs potential harms (e.g. improvements in pain score or function).
  • If opioids are prescribed, it should be at the lowest potency and dose to adequately manage pain, for the shortest possible duration (or intermittent dosing if longer-term use cannot be avoided), with a preference for immediate release formulations, and in combination with non-opioid analgesics
  • Between 2017 – 2021, overall opioid use decreased slightly in New Zealand, however, there was an increase at the end of this period for both weak and strong opioids. Dispensing was highest among people of European ethnicity and older people. There was considerable variation between regions. See “New Zealand trends in opioid use (2017-2021)” to review national dispensing data.
  • A selective approach to the use of strong opioids should be a continuing focus moving forward. Addressing this situation in primary care, however, can be challenging as many prescriptions originate in secondary care. Dispensings for morphine and oxycodone increased between 2017 and 2021 in New Zealand; despite morphine being the first-line choice, most patients with an oxycodone dispensing in 2021 had not been dispensed morphine within the previous 12 months.
  • Peer comparisons can be effective in reducing the prescribing of opioids. See “How does your prescribing compare?” for your personal 2021 and 2022 prescribing snapshot (if you are a primary care prescriber), including matched comparator and national figures.

*The terms “weak opioids” and “strong opioids” have been used throughout this article for simplicity and familiarity, however, we acknowledge they are somewhat of a misnomer in the context of opioid potency. For example, the effects of tramadol may be either “weak” or “strong” depending on the dose used and whether or not the patient is an “ultra-rapid-metaboliser” (i.e. has high levels of CYP2D6 enzyme activity). Another approach for categorising these groups in the literature is describing them as “opioids for mild to moderate pain” and “opioids for moderate to severe pain”.

Pain is a subjective experience and its perception is influenced by a complex web of biological, psychological and social factors.1 Acute pain is often linked to a specific injury or condition; the clinical course is usually predictable and temporary, with management tailored to its severity and cause.2 In contrast, chronic pain is a far more complex clinical scenario that can be caused by a number of factors, including sub-optimal management of acute pain by the patient and/or clinician. It is estimated that one in five adults in New Zealand are affected by chronic pain.3 Chronic pain is broadly defined as pain lasting more than three months and can be further classified as being either:4

  • Chronic primary pain – the cause of pain is uncertain, or it appears to be disproportionate to any observable injury or condition
  • Chronic secondary pain – pain is caused by an underlying condition, e.g. rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, endometriosis, ulcerative colitis

For further information on pain perception, including the distinct mechanisms that underpin acute and chronic states, see: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6650904/

In primary care, clinicians are often faced with the difficult task of interpreting whether a reported degree of distress or disability justifies initiation, continuation or escalation of pharmacological treatment. Often, such decisions depend on using clinical judgement to balance patient perceptions against their clinical and social history, as well as potential risk factors that may impact on treatment selection.

The World Health Organization (WHO) analgesic ladder

The WHO analgesic ladder is a widely used framework for the management of nociceptive pain.5, 6 Most patients can be prescribed Step 1 medicines (e.g. paracetamol and/or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs [NSAIDs]).5, 6 If necessary, “weaker opioids” such as codeine and tramadol can be added which are at Step 2, while “stronger opioids” such as morphine and oxycodone are Step 3 on the analgesic ladder.5, 6 Each step of management can be supported by adjuvant treatments where applicable, e.g. non-analgesic medicines such as tricyclic antidepressants, as well as non-pharmacological interventions, e.g. heat/cold, relaxation and behavioural techniques.5, 6

Subsequent revisions to the WHO analgesic ladder:5, 6

  • Emphasise a bidirectional approach to pain management, i.e. escalating treatment to effectively manage pain, then de-escalating to lower steps when practically possible
  • Distinguish between acute and chronic pain management – stronger analgesics (weak and strong opioids) are often used first for acute pain and the patient progressively steps down treatment, whereas patients with chronic pain should start on Step 1 (non-opioid analgesics) and move upwards, as required
  • Include an additional step to encompass the numerous other procedures available for the treatment of persistent pain, e.g. neurosurgical interventions, neuromodulation strategies, nerve blocks

Indications and cautions for opioid use

Despite the hierarchical approach outlined in the WHO analgesic ladder, opioids are still widely and inappropriately prescribed (and requested).7 While these medicines can be highly effective at alleviating moderate to severe acute pain, there is no compelling evidence that opioids are effective for the management of chronic primary pain.4 In addition, regular opioid use is associated with an increased risk of:7

  • Adverse effects, e.g. cognitive impairment, respiratory depression (including fatal opioid-induced ventilatory impairment), sleep apnoea, increased risk of falls and fall-related injuries, depression, hypotension, bradycardia and multiple gastrointestinal effects, e.g. nausea, vomiting, bloating, constipation and in severe cases bowel impaction or perforation
  • Dependence, tolerance and opioid-induced hyperalgesia due to neuroadaptation
  • Misuse and death

Indications for opioid prescribing include:2, 4, 7

  • Moderate to severe acute pain following surgery or injury (short-term use preferred)
  • Moderate to severe cancer-related pain or pain associated with terminal-conditions (palliative care)
  • Moderate to severe chronic non-cancer pain for selected patients in whom pain cannot be controlled despite the use of non-opioid analgesics/other non-pharmacological interventions, and which is adversely affecting functioning and quality of life (short-term or intermittent use preferred). The decision to initiate longer periods of opioid use should only be made when there is a documented benefit (e.g. improvements in pain score or function) that outweighs potential harms, and ideally be made in consultation with a multi-disciplinary pain management team*.

*This recommendation is based on evidence from clinical trials, however, we acknowledge that it is not always practical due to resource limitations.

If opioids are indicated, they should be prescribed at the lowest potency and dose to adequately manage pain, for the shortest possible duration, with a preference for immediate release formulations, and in combination with non-opioid analgesics (see: “Key recommendations for opioid prescribing”).7 There are limited situations where strong opioids should be initiated for the management of acute pain in primary care; community use most commonly involves renewing such prescriptions for patients who have been discharged from hospital. This scenario can be a source of frustration for primary care clinicians who must determine if there is an ongoing need, and if not, gradually attempt to safely withdraw these medicines in patients who may have developed opioid dependence.

The risk of long-term opioid use increases:8

  • With each additional day of use beyond Day 3; there are marked increases in risk at around Days 5 and 31 of treatment
  • When the initial prescription is for a period exceeding 10 days
  • When repeats are included in a first prescription or a second prescription is given

Given the significant risks related to opioid use in the community, reducing unnecessary use is a key focus in New Zealand, as it is worldwide. Previous work by bpacnz demonstrated that overall, opioid dispensings in New Zealand were relatively stable between 2013 – 2017, with small increases in the use of some options, including codeine, tramadol and morphine, and slight decreases in others, e.g. paracetamol with codeine, oxycodone. Here, we present an update to this investigation of opioid use in New Zealand for the next five-year period (2017 – 2021) to reflect on our progress towards reducing opioid prescribing.

The big picture: overall opioid use has declined slightly but there has been a recent increase in dispensings

As expected, weak opioids (e.g. codeine, tramadol) are used significantly more than strong opioids (e.g. morphine, oxycodone) in New Zealand (Figure 1). While there was a net decline in the use of weak opioids between 2017 and 2021, an increase occurred between 2020 and 2021 (Figure 1A). For strong opioids, this upward shift occurred a year earlier in 2019, and was associated with a net increase across the same five-year period (Figure 1B). Despite these opposing net changes in use between weak and strong opioids, overall opioid use marginally declined between 2017 and 2021 as weak opioids account for a significantly greater proportion of total prescriptions.

The increase in opioid dispensings between 2020 and 2021 is notable. Of the various factors that have recently impacted on healthcare and its delivery in New Zealand, none are more obvious or pertinent than the COVID-19 pandemic. The associated nationwide lockdowns and restrictions have had wide-reaching effects on service provision, and recent reports illustrate that high numbers of patients have had surgeries/appointments cancelled or deferred across the regions.9 While it is tempting to speculate that such delays have increased the volume of patients living with chronic pain and therefore are dispensed opioids while they wait, further investigation is required to establish a link.

For updated data on national opioid use in 2022, see: 2022 Data Update: Opioid use remains elevated during the COVID-19 pandemic


Figure 1. Dispensing of (A) weak and (B) strong opioid analgesics (number of patients with at least one dispensing/1,000 population) in New Zealand between 2017 – 2021. Note the different scales on the y-axis between panels A and B. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2022.10

Is oxycodone being used appropriately?

Morphine is considered the first-line option if a strong opioid is required. Oxycodone should ideally only be prescribed in patients who cannot tolerate morphine, due to the added risks (particularly misuse).11 In 2016, bpacnz reported that 86% of patients in New Zealand dispensed oxycodone in the community within the previous 12 months did not have a prior prescription for morphine. Most prescriptions were initiated in secondary care, e.g. on hospital discharge.

Using the same methodology, we have determined that:

In 2021, 88% of patients did not have a recorded trial of morphine within the 12 months prior to their first oxycodone prescription. N.B. Some of these patients may have trialled morphine in hospital and not tolerated it, so no prescription was recorded.

Given that oxycodone dispensing increased by 16% between 2017 and 2021 (Figure 1B), the appropriate use of strong opioids must continue to be a focus moving forward. While the majority of these prescriptions are not initiated in primary care, general practitioners can still question the suitability of renewal requests, and ensure their own prescribing decisions follow best practice standards (see: “How does your prescribing compare?”).

For further information on managing acute pain with strong opioids, see: bpac.org.nz/2018/opioids.aspx

A closer look at national opioid use: key insights

By age group (Figure 2) – total opioid use increases with age. In 2021, peak tramadol use occurred in people aged 55 – 64 years before declining, whereas codeine use continued to increase beyond age 85 years. This difference is possibly because codeine is considered the clinically safer “weak” opioid option and therefore more suitable for older patients. Use of strong opioids (morphine and oxycodone) increased progressively with age, likely due to higher rates of use in cancer care, palliative care, or use in patients with age-related degenerative conditions, e.g. osteoarthritis.

Figure 2. Opioid dispensing by age group in New Zealand in 2021.10 Click between tabs to sort by weak or strong opioids. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2022.10


By ethnicity (Figure 3) – people of European/Other ethnicity had significantly higher rates of opioid dispensings compared with other ethnic groups. Between 2017 and 2021, codeine use decreased among people of Asian and Pacific ethnicity while use remained largely static among European/Other and Māori groups. Use of the strong opioids oxycodone and morphine increased among all ethnicities between 2017 and 2021.

Figure 3. Opioid dispensing by age group in New Zealand for 2017 and 2021.10 Click between tabs to sort by weak or strong opioids. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2022.10


By region (Figure 4) – there was significant variation in opioid dispensings between New Zealand regions over time.* For example:

  • The rate of codeine dispensing for Canterbury in 2021 was the highest in the country; approximately double that in Counties Manukau and, despite being geographically adjacent, 46% higher than in South Canterbury
  • Morphine use increased by 31% in Nelson/Marlborough between 2017 and 2021
  • The Waikato DHB had the lowest rate of morphine dispensing of all regions in 2021, but had the highest rate of oxycodone use
  • The Capital and Coast DHB had the lowest rates of oxycodone use in both 2017 and 2021, potentially due to the persisting impact of their opioid prescribing campaign

The reason behind the observed variation between regions is likely multi-factorial including differences in demographics, hospital and surgical waitlist times and the clinical preferences of local surgical and pain-management teams. These findings highlight the challenge that Te Whatu Ora, Health New Zealand, faces in reducing healthcare inequities between the regions.

* This data was obtained from timepoints pre-dating the disestablishment of New Zealand DHBs and the centralisation of their functions under Te Whatu Ora, Health New Zealand

Figure 4. Opioid dispensing by region (DHB) in New Zealand for 2017 and 2021.10 Click between tabs to sort by opioid. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2022.10


The bottom line

Despite a slight decrease in overall opioid dispensings between 2017 – 2021, these medicines are still commonly used in New Zealand. The increase in use near the end of this five-year period is a notable finding that warrants further investigation (particularly in the context of COVID-19 and its effects on healthcare provision), and there is considerable variation in use between age groups, ethnicities and regions. While trends in the use of stronger opioids will be heavily influenced by prescribing initiated in secondary care, these conclusions serve as a reminder that primary care clinicians may benefit from reflecting on their approach to opioid prescribing. Prescribers should always consider whether the indication warrants the potential risk, even if it means questioning secondary care discharge prescriptions. A primary care clinician’s judgement and knowledge of their patient – including their unique clinical history, needs and challenges – is a powerful tool in the fight against opioid misuse.

2022 Data Update: Opioid use remains elevated during the COVID-19 pandemic

The increase in opioid use identified in 2021 was not a transient occurrence; both weak and strong opioid use remained elevated in 2022 compared with “pre-COVID-19” levels (Figure 5).13* Notably, the number of patients dispensed at least one prescription for oxycodone increased by almost 20% between 2020 and 2022 (from 5.0 to 6.0 patients per 1,000 population). In comparison, the increase in the number of patients dispensed morphine was smaller during this period (approximately 10%), despite being the preferred first-line option if a strong opioid is required.

Figure 5. Dispensing of (A) weak and (B) strong opioid analgesics (number of patients with at least one dispensing/1,000 population) in New Zealand between 2017 – 2022. Note the different scales on the y-axis between panels A and B. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2023.13


When assessing oxycodone use by region in 2020 and 2022, considerable differences can be observed across New Zealand (Figure 6):13

  • Waikato consistently had the highest rates of oxycodone use, and in 2022 had a level almost nine times that of Capital and Coast (the lowest in New Zealand)
  • The most significant increases during this time period (from 2020 to 2022) were in South Canterbury (+60.8%), Hawkes Bay (+57.0%), Lakes (+41.2%) and Taranaki (+35.3%)
  • Rates of oxycodone use were consistently lower on average in the South Island compared with the North Island. Of the five South Island regions, only the Southern region was above the national average in both years.

*The “number of patients with at least one dispensing” was used to assess opioid use rather than “total number of dispensings”. This is because a patient may get multiple prescriptions for small amounts of an opioid or one prescription for up to one month’s supply; therefore, counting the total number of dispensings does not provide meaningful information in this context.

Figure 6. Oxycodone dispensing by region in New Zealand for 2020 and 2022. Data obtained from Manatū Hauora, Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical collection, 2023.13

Discuss with your peers or self-reflect on factors that could potentially explain the increase in opioid use over the past few years:

  • Is the overlap with the “COVID-19 era” causal or coincidental?
  • Why might there be such significant variation between regions?
  • Are surgical wait times influencing opioid prescribing?
  • Do healthcare resource and time limitations make prescribing opioids the more “convenient” option?
  • Has the increasing frequency of medicine supply issues compromised or limited prescribing choices?

Evidence suggests that peer prescribing comparisons can reduce opioid prescribing by primary care clinicians.12 In a 2022 randomised controlled trial clinicians who received monthly prescribing-comparison emails were 41% less likely to prescribe an opioid for a patient after their first visit, and 27% less likely to continue prescribing for use beyond three months compared with a control group.12 For further information, see: “Peer-comparisons can prompt clinicians to re-consider prescribing decisions”.

With these study findings in mind, consider whether you might benefit from a peer-comparison.

If you are a primary care prescriber and have a My bpac account, log in to see your personalised prescribing snapshot for both 2021 and 2022, including how your prescribing compares to your peers and national trends.


If you don’t have a My bpac account, sign up for free.

This resource is the subject of copyright which is owned by bpacnz. You may access it, but you may not reproduce it or any part of it except in the limited situations described in the terms of use on our website.

Article supported by the South Link Education Trust

Brett Mann 14 Feb 2023 09:04
Rosemary Bruce 10 Nov 2023 23:33
Jennifer Warlow 11 Nov 2023 12:01
Sharyn Willis, Medical Advisor, bpacnz 13 Nov 2023 11:39

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